Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.002848 0.003057 0.003283 0.003549 0.003854 0.004196 0.004614
2024-10-13 0.002517 0.002792 0.003109 0.003507 0.004002 0.004612 0.005443
2024-10-20 0.002234 0.002532 0.002888 0.003357 0.003976 0.004795 0.006021
2024-10-27 0.002082 0.002403 0.002801 0.003348 0.004111 0.005196 0.006992
2024-11-03 0.001874 0.002183 0.002574 0.003122 0.003909 0.005076 0.007128
2024-11-10 0.001803 0.002129 0.002551 0.003164 0.004088 0.005547 0.008396
2024-11-17 0.001753 0.002096 0.002551 0.003234 0.004312 0.006138 0.010154
2024-11-24 0.001678 0.002023 0.002489 0.003205 0.004374 0.006459 0.011519
2024-12-01 0.001645 0.002005 0.002501 0.003286 0.004626 0.007195 0.014434
2024-12-08 0.001589 0.001950 0.002455 0.003271 0.004706 0.007610 0.016846
2024-12-15 0.001525 0.001882 0.002385 0.003208 0.004692 0.007818 0.018804
2024-12-22 0.001504 0.001871 0.002398 0.003283 0.004945 0.008720 0.025080
2024-12-29 0.001478 0.001856 0.002410 0.003365 0.005245 0.009927 0.037648
2025-01-05 0.001428 0.001803 0.002358 0.003334 0.005310 0.010544 0.050661
2025-01-12 0.001359 0.001719 0.002254 0.003199 0.005133 0.010371 0.054981
2025-01-19 0.001322 0.001682 0.002221 0.003192 0.005239 0.011165 0.085778
2025-01-26 0.001246 0.001582 0.002084 0.002983 0.004861 0.010180 0.068357
2025-02-02 0.001226 0.001566 0.002082 0.003023 0.005061 0.011333 0.142016
2025-02-09 0.001213 0.001559 0.002093 0.003087 0.005333 0.012983 1.182343
2025-02-16 0.001183 0.001526 0.002058 0.003061 0.005376 0.013725 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001173 0.001523 0.002074 0.003136 0.005696 0.016130 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001148 0.001496 0.002046 0.003121 0.005774 0.017374 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001117 0.001458 0.002000 0.003064 0.005722 0.017807 NaN